In my “Innovative Entrepreneurs Replace Despair with Hope” paper (currently undergoing a second round of revision in response to referee requests), I argue that the worst off will benefit if we strengthen a redundant labor market by unbinding innovative entrepreneurs.
Besides unbinding innovative entrepreneurs, two other conditions can strengthen redundant labor markets: a stable macroeconomy and the agglomeration benefits of urban areas.
Many believe that inevitable recessions must periodically undermine the first of these conditions, a stable macroeconomy, and thus threaten an otherwise redundant labor market. But a plausible contrarian view argues that recessions are not inevitable, since they usually are caused by policy mistakes that can be avoided (Furchtgott-Roth 2026; Glynn 2018; Goodspeed 2026; Irwin 2016, 2019a, 2019b; Rudebusch 2016).
For example, Australia achieved 29 years without a recession, allowing a flourishing redundant labor market to attract energetic, smart, young French citizens who could not find jobs in a sclerotic labor market in France (Rubin and Breeden 2015). Australian workers could often move seamlessly between entrepreneurship and jobs (Bradsher 2016). Australian lockdown policies during the Covid-19 pandemic may have contributed to Australia’s first recession in 29 years (Kwai 2020).
In the couple of years before the pandemic, the U.S. economy, though far from a perfect exemplar of a redundant labor market, was strong enough to allow more workers to quit their jobs to seek better jobs (Cutter 2018; Harrison and Morath 2018). The strong economy also allowed more low-skilled workers to find jobs (Ip 2019; Modestino et al. 2016, 2020).
A second condition that contributes to the flourishing of redundant labor markets consists of the agglomeration benefits of urban areas, where firms and workers are both numerous and diverse. The positive effects of this density and diversity are called “agglomeration forces” (Moretti 2013, 124). Unfortunately, these positive forces are weakened by regulations, including zoning and regulations that restrict the construction and development of housing, and thereby limit the extent to which low-skilled workers can move to, and benefit from, redundant labor markets (Herkenhoff et al. 2018; Hsieh and Moretti 2019).
For example, in New York City regulations limit the height of skyscrapers (Glaeser 2011) and require apartments to exceed a minimum size (Bertaud 2018, 11, 47, 231-234, and 258-259). When Alain Bertaud and his wife were young and poor, they were only able to move from Paris to Manhattan because they found a tiny apartment that they could afford. They were delighted because they valued all that Manhattan could offer. But today a Manhattan developer who built such tiny apartments would be violating the law (Bertaud 2019, about an hour into interview).
Some of those who are among the worst off might improve some of their circumstances by moving to one of the few cities (most notably Houston) that have better jobs and do not have zoning laws and other regulations that discourage newcomers (Gray 2022; Siegan 1972). But the increase in hope from a distant job is sometimes countered by the need to commute back to the home community where a spouse, children, or parents have deep roots. When the GM plant closed in Janesville, Wisconsin many of the workers could only find comparable jobs at GM plants hundreds of miles away. Many of them became “GM gypsies” commuting back and forth to Janesville on a weekend, when they could, to see their family (Goldstein 2017, 105). As Amy Goldstein describes them, they persevere less from any hope for a better life, than from a sense of pride, a work ethic.
Here are the sources cited above:
Bertaud, Alain. 2018. Order without Design: How Markets Shape Cities. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.
Bertaud, Alain. 2019. Alain Bertaud on Cities, Planning, and Order Without Design. EconTalk, interviewed by Russ Roberts, June 3. https://www.econtalk.org/alain-bertaud-on-cities-planning-and-order-without-design/.
Bradsher, Keith. 2016. Money from the Dust. New York Times (Sept. 25): 1 & 4–5.
Bregman, Rutger. 2017. Utopia for Realists: How We Can Build the Ideal World. New York: Little, Brown and Company.
Cutter, Chip. 2018. For Job Recruiters, These Are Trying Times. Wall Street Journal (Dec. 20): B6.
Furchtgott-Roth, Diana. 2026. The Events That Cause Recessions. Wall Street Journal (Sat., June 6): C7–C8.
Glynn, James. 2018. The Outlook; Keeping an Economic Boom Going. Wall Street Journal (July 16): A2.
Goodspeed, Tyler Beck. Recession: The Real Reasons Economies Shrink and What to Do About It. New York: Basic Venture, 2026.
Gray, M. Nolan. 2022. Arbitrary Lines: How Zoning Broke the American City and How to Fix It. Washington, D.C.: Island Press.
Harrison, David, and Eric Morath. 2018. Economy Spurs Job Hopping. Wall Street Journal (July 5): A1-A2.
Herkenhoff, Kyle F., Lee E. Ohanian, and Edward C. Prescott. 2018. Tarnishing the Golden and Empire States: Land-Use Restrictions and the U.S. Economic Slowdown. Journal of Monetary Economics 93 (Jan.): 89-109.
Hsieh, Chang-Tai, and Enrico Moretti. 2019. Housing Constraints and Spatial Misallocation. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 11, no. 2 (April): 1-39.
Ip, Greg. 2019. Capital Account; Long Expansion Lifts Low-Skilled Workers Too. Wall Street Journal (July 11): A2.
Irwin, Neil. 2016. Expansion Is Old, Not at Death’s Door. New York Times (Oct. 28): B1 & B2.
Irwin, Neil. 2019a. An Economic Boom That Might Be Changing the Rules. New York Times (May 4): A13.
Irwin, Neil. 2019b. What America Can Learn from Australia’s Economic Miracle. New York Times, SundayBusiness Section (April 7): 1 & 6.
Kwai, Isabella. 2020. Covid-19 Knocks Australia into First Recession in Decades. New York Times (Sept. 3): B4.
Modestino, Alicia Sasser, Daniel Shoag, and Joshua Ballance. 2016. Downskilling: Changes in Employer Skill Requirements over the Business Cycle. Labour Economics 41 (Aug.): 333-47.
Modestino, Alicia Sasser, Daniel Shoag, and Joshua Ballance. 2020. Upskilling: Do Employers Demand Greater Skill When Workers Are Plentiful? Review of Economics and Statistics 102, no. 4 (Oct.): 793-805.
Moretti, Enrico. 2013. The New Geography of Jobs. pb ed. New York: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Co.
Rubin, Alissa J., and Aurelien Breeden. 2015. Song for French Charity Strikes Discordant Note. New York Times (March 4): A6.
Rudebusch, Glenn D. 2016. Will the Economic Recovery Die of Old Age? FRBSF Economic Letter, # 2016-03 (Feb. 4): 1-4.
Siegan, Bernard. 1972. Land Use Without Zoning. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books.
An earlier draft of my “Innovative Entrepreneurs Replace Despair with Hope” paper can be found at:
